RBI's target to bring down retail
inflation at 5% by March 2017 will face some risks from monsoon uncertainty and
execution of 7th Pay Panel recommendations, while macro-economic factors will
be critical for sustaining growth, Moody's Investors Service said today.
It also said that a growth-oriented
forthcoming Budget, while controlling inflation at the same time, will help
support India's sovereign credit rating.
Read our full coverage on Union Budget 2016
The Reserve Bank expects retail
inflation to be around 6% in January 2016 and lower further to 5% by March
2017.
"The budget announcement at the end
of February should offer some insight into the Pay Commission implementation,
other fiscal measures and their likely impact on growth and inflation.
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